Analysis
Monday, June 23rd 2025
Amir Taheri Gatestone, June 22, 2025 “the overall mood in Iran, including in the ruling circles, is against Khamenei’s “to the last drop of blood” posturing, if only because people know this is posturing from a leader who is personally secure in his hideout.” After a week in purdah, “Supreme Guide” Ali Khamenei broke […]
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Farnaz Fassihi NY Times, June 22, 2025 “Iran’s options are grim. And whatever it does will be a turning point for the Islamic Republic’s nearly five-decade rule.” Iran’s clerical rulers have a long history of open animosity toward the United States. From vowing “Death to America” to striking an American base in Iraq after […]
William F. Wechsler The Atlantic Council, June 22, 2025 “The regime is in a fundamentally weak position and should leap at this last opportunity to save itself, as this is clearly Trump’s preferred outcome.” Just over one week ago, when Israel began its campaign of strikes on Iran, I argued that “Iran cannot be allowed to […]
Monday, June 23rd 2025 / Monday, June 23rd 2025
Saeid Golkar Moment, June 19, 2025 “While Khamenei’s rule remains unchallenged, he has a notable weakness: Among leaders in the modern world, he is one of the most disliked by his people.” In the wake of Israeli attacks since June 12, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader since 1989, was forced into hiding, retreating […]
Friday, June 20th 2025
Editorial Board WSJ, June 19, 2025 “Another difference with Iraq is that Iran actually has an advanced nuclear program, far beyond any civilian purpose.” The press is full of reporting on the “MAGA civil war” over Iran, but what’s notable is that the loudest isolationists appear to be losing the debate. It’s worth considering […]
Andrew C. McCarthy National Review, June 19, 2025 “We now know the U.S. intelligence community was unaware of Iran’s Fordow enrichment facility when it generated the 2007 NIE [which absurdly claimed that Iran had abandoned its nuclear weapons program in 2003], and Israeli intelligence’s 2018 acquisition of Iran’s nuclear records proved the regime’s years of […]
Phillip Elliot TIME, June 18, 2025 “Trump on Tuesday was testing the limits of that cohort’s support, as he posted on social media that he knew where Iran’s Supreme Leader was bunkering down and threatened his life unless Iran agreed to “UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER.” “We are not going to take him out (kill!), at least […]
Jonathan S. Tobin JNS, June 19, 2025 “Of course, the Trump administration is already part of this war.” Pundits, like generals, seem always doomed to refight the last war. That’s the main thing to remember as the world watches the debate over whether the United States should join Israel in action to ensure that […]
Thursday, June 19th 2025
Hussein Aboubakr Mansour Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs, June 17, 2025 “Iran is unquestionably the weakest link in the global axis of anti-American disruption, which includes our most bitter rivals, China and Russia.” Entering their fifth day, Israel’s sustained and extraordinary operations against Iran have demonstrated remarkable strategic precision and military effectiveness. […]
Benjamin Jensen Center for Strategic and International Studies, June 13, 2025 “While the operation is still ongoing, Rising Lion is a harbinger of how the U.S. Department of Defense needs to adapt to the changing character of war.” Just after midnight on June 13, 2025, an Israeli operation codenamed Rising Lion unfolded in two distinct but […]
Armin Rosen Tablet, June 17, 2025 “Can Israel destroy Fordow without American help? Yeah, I think so.” The United States is the only country in the world with the ability to destroy the Fordow nuclear facility quickly from the air, something we could accomplish by dropping a couple 15-ton Massive Ordnance Penetrator bombs on […]
Thursday, June 19th 2025 / Thursday, June 19th 2025
Kasra Aarabi Engelsberg Ideas, June 18, 2025 “While the IRGC has spent time, resources and blood over the decades in its costly pursuit of the nuclear weaponisation threshold, this pillar has always remained more aspirational than assured.” As Israel’s targeted strikes inside Iran continue, the longer-term implications for the Iranian regime’s military doctrine and […]
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