J.E. Dyer
The Optimistic Conservative, Sept. 29, 2024
“As I’ve observed numerous times, the “ceasefire” leading to “two-state solution” is a solution in search of a problem. It’s a pushed narrative. It’s not analysis. It’s not self-evident in 2024 that it’s the answer to any question or problem.”
This will be just a few comments, predicated on the basic facts about the situation. It won’t be an in-depth treatment. It is imperative to focus at the macro level and understand where this problem-set is now.
It’s not in a new static condition. It’s very much fluid. Israel has major laurels to rest on, but no leisure to do it.
In the coming days, the biggest threat to Israeli security is the continued urging of Western nations and the UN to get an outside consortium of purportedly well-intentioned nations into the big middle of the geopolitical sets known as “Gaza,” “Lebanon,” and the “West Bank.” Continue reading“What Netanyahu won’t stop doing: Inside the OODA Loop on the new Israeli situation”
Others have made a point – which I agree with – that slashing the infrastructure and power of Hezbollah and Hamas leaves Iran without a lurking proxy veto on the level of Israeli audacity in countering Iran.
The more Israel whittles down the power of the terrorist organizations, the less of a potential veto Iran has. The cross-border risk to Israel is declining significantly. Israel’s latitude to react effectively to Iran is expanding. That is a dynamic condition, however, and what can be done to reconstitute earlier, more threatening conditions – i.e., bring bigger threats back to Israel’s perimeter – will depend on how far down the power of the terror groups is taken, and what happens afterward in the territory where they’ve held sway. … [To read the full article, click here]