Eldad Shavit, Udi Dekel, and Anat Kurz
INSS, Feb. 23, 2022
“… it is clear that the military and political developments, including the arrangements that will subsequently be determined, will have an impact on the risks and opportunities facing countries in the Middle East.”
The international system is preparing for the possibility that for the first time since World War II, Russia, willing to confront the West led by the United States, will launch a large-scale military campaign in Europe. Russian President Vladimir Putin has deployed a massive force around Ukraine in order to signal that the Kremlin sees the pro-Western change in the former Soviet republic as a serious threat that must be halted, even at the price of war. It is clear to the Western countries that Russia’s military activity surrounding Ukraine, beyond the desire to ensure tighter control of events in Kiev, aims to effect substantial change in the world order and address Putin’s ambition to restore Russia’s former glory and its standing as a superpower, which it lost with the collapse of the Soviet Union.
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