Victor Davis Hanson
Mosaic, Jan. 16, 2025
“ … in the postmodern Western democracies, there arises a certain end-of-history utopianism, in which war is deemed anachronistic and the result of misunderstanding and miscommunication, rather than of innate evil or the desire to gain advantage once perceived deterrence is lost and the stronger can dictate to the weaker.”
Ran Baratz’s sharp critique of Israeli retaliatory action following October 7, coupled with incisive and constructive correctives, is a shared worry outside of Israel. Why, he asks, was the IDF surprised by the attack, why was it shocked that it was so medieval in nature, and why did it take so long to take the war home to Gaza?
More to the point, why have not the Israeli Defense Forces thus far after October 7 been able to translate their brilliant operational and tactical victories into favorable strategic resolutions that might have led to more or less permanent victory and an ensuing sustained peace? A short answer is that neither the war nor Israel’s desire to further weaken its enemies is yet over.
Otherwise, those responsible for disconnecting tactical from strategic victory, Baratz argues, are not the spirited and heroic Israeli troops in the fields. Rather, he faults the current generation of military and civilian analysts and strategists. Swept up in the trends of the moment, and amnesiac about the historically unique challenges and vulnerabilities of a tiny Israel surrounded by nations comprising some 500 million Muslims, they became unthinking captives of old cliches and new orthodoxies, many of which are stale carry-overs from the cold war. …SOURCE