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Tuesday, April 16, 2024
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Daily Briefing: WHO IS WINNING IN UKRAINE?

How Russia’s New Commander in Ukraine Could Change the War:  Isaac Chotiner, The New Yorker, Jan. 17, 2023 Last week, Russia announced that it was replacing General Sergei Surovikin—who had been put in charge of the war in Ukraine only three months earlier—with another general, Valery Gerasimov. 

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 15, 2023, Kateryna Stepanenko, George Barros, and Mason Clark January 15, 2023 — Click here to see ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report. ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, January 15. This report focuses on Russia’s likely preparation to conduct a decisive strategic action in 2023 intended to end Ukraine’s string of operational successes and regain the initiative.
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The Long War in Ukraine: Ivo H. Daalder and James Goldgeier, Foreign Affairs, Jan. 9, 2023
In Ukraine, “There’s Something Happening There”;  Larry Johnson, Sonar 21, Jan. 11, 2023
It Would Be Hard for Ukraine to Lose the War to Russia:  Holman W. Jenkins Jr., WSJ, Jan. 6, 2023
Can Russia Outlast Ukraine?:  Jed Babbin, American Spectator, Jan. 16, 2023


 

Anti-terrorist operation in eastern Ukraine (War Ukraine) | Flickr

Situation in the Eastern Ukrainian Town of Soledar Is “Critical,” Soldier Tells CNN:  Yulia Keseiva, CNN, Jan. 10, 2023 — A Ukrainian soldier fighting in the eastern town of Soledar told CNN that the situation is “critical” and the death toll is now so high that “no one counts the dead”. 
 
What Is Ukraine Hiding in the Bakhmut Salt Mines?:  Larry Johnson, Sonar 21, Jan. 7, 2023 –– The prolonged battle for Bakhmut is portrayed in the press as a symbol of Russian weakness. I know that many Westerners have scratched their heads and wondered why such a fierce battle is being waged over this particular piece of territory. 
 
Ukraine War: US Provides Offensive Weapons for First Time:  Geopolitical Monitor, Jan. 9, 2023 — The latest US weapons package to Ukraine, worth an estimated $2.85 billion, is being billed as a potential game-changer as key offensive platforms are being included for the first time.
 
A Crucial Moment for Ukraine Editorial Board, WSJ, Jan. 18, 2023 — Western governments are applauding themselves for helping Ukraine resist Russia’s invasion, and some credit is certainly due. 
 

Kevin McCarthy on Russia, Ukraine and US Interests: RM Staff, Russia Matters, Jan. 13, 2023 — When it comes to views on post-Soviet Eurasia, GOP congressman Kevin McCarthy is perhaps best known for his October 2022 assertion that there will be “no blank check” for Ukraine if his party takes control of The House of Representatives in the November 2022 mid-term elections.

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